Istanbul Policy Center: Türkiye Can Decarbonize Its Economy in 30 Years

26 Nov 2021
  • According to the Istanbul Policy Center's 'Turkey's Decarbonization Roadmap: Net Zero in 2050' report, Türkiye can reach its decarbonization target within 30 years with the regulations to be made in the economy
  • The study is the first to reveal how Turkey will achieve its Net Zero target
  • It is emphasized that the sector that can achieve the fastest carbon reduction is electricity, while emissions from electricity production are expected to be halved in 10 years
  • Increasing the share of total renewable energy installed power other than hydroelectricity from 17 percent to 50 percent by 2030, completing the transition from coal, which started before 2030, in 2035, are important steps to achieve the target

The 'Turkey's Decarbonization Roadmap: Net Zero in 2050' report prepared by Sabancı University Istanbul Policy Center (IPC) was announced at an online event. The report includes the steps that need to be taken to achieve the net zero emission target in the fight against climate change by 2050, in accordance with the Paris Agreement adopted by the Turkish Grand National Assembly on October 6. The study is the first to reveal, with scientific data, the course of Turkey's carbon emissions until 2050 and the possible path to be followed to zero emissions by 2050 in line with the Net Zero target. The report also sheds light on the direction in which Turkey's National Contribution Declaration (NDC) should be revised.

The event was attended by IPC Climate Change Studies Coordinator Dr. from the research and writing team of the report. Ümit Şahin, EPRA General Manager Assoc. Dr. Osman Bülent Tör, METU lecturer Dr. Bora Kat, EPRA Deputy Projects Director Dr. Saeed Teimourzadeh, GTE Carbon Managing Partner Kemal Demirkol, Venesco Chairman of the Board Arif Künar, METU Department of Economics faculty member Prof. Dr. Ebru Voyvoda and Kadir Has University, Department of Economics faculty member Prof. Dr. Erinç Yeldan attended.

IF CURRENT POLICIES CONTINUE, CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSIONS WILL INCREASE BY 66 PERCENT

The research focuses on Turkey's economic indicators in 2018, focusing on electricity production, transportation, buildings, energy use in industry and other productive sectors, and carbon dioxide emissions resulting from industrial processes. Emission pathways for the 2018-2050 period are compared under two scenarios: Base Scenario and Net Zero.

Türkiye CAN REACH ZERO CARBON TARGET IN 2050

According to the Net Zero Scenario, in line with the net zero target, it is possible for CO2 emissions from energy consumption in all sectors to decrease by 37 percent in 2030 compared to the 2018 level and by 80 percent in 2050, reaching 74 million tons of CO2.

THE KEY TO DE CARBONIZATION IS ELECTRICITY PRODUCTION: MORE SUN AND WIND

It is emphasized that in order for Turkey to achieve its Net Zero target, the electricity sector must largely transition away from coal and towards renewable energy sources in 2035.

SOLUTION IN THE TRANSPORTATION SECTOR: ELECTRIC VEHICLES AND RAIL SYSTEMS

The Net Zero Scenario emphasizes that emissions from the transportation sector can decrease at a rate close to the total of all sectors.

IT IS POSSIBLE TO RESET CARBON EMISSIONS IN BUILDINGS BEFORE 2050

Among the sectors, the fastest decrease occurs in emissions from buildings.

ENERGY EFFICIENCY, ELECTRIFICATION, R&D ARE CRITICALLY IMPORTANT IN INDUSTRIAL EMISSIONS

Energy efficiency, electrification and R&D studies are critical to reduce emissions caused by energy consumption in the industry.

ROADMAP TO ZERO CARBON

You can access the report here here.

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