2030 Goals in Wind and Solar Energy

07 May 2025

It was stated that Türkiye, which is expected to exceed its current targets for 2030 in wind and solar energy by a large margin, can set more ambitious targets to accelerate the clean energy transformation and strengthen its fight against climate change.

International non-governmental organizations Climate Analytics and NewClimate Institute calculated the required increase rate in wind and solar energy in key countries to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees.

In this context, the wind and solar energy installed capacity needed at the national level in 11 countries, which constitute more than 70 percent of the world's existing wind and solar energy, was analyzed.

The countries in the analysis included Turkey, China, USA, India, Australia, Brazil, Germany, Indonesia, Mexico, Nigeria and South Africa.

According to the findings regarding Türkiye in the analysis, there is a great potential to rapidly increase the country's wind and solar energy capacity, which stands at 22 gigawatts by the end of 2022.

Türkiye's National Energy Plan has a target of reaching 33 gigawatts of solar energy installed capacity and 18 gigawatts of wind energy installed capacity by 2030.

However, under current policies and market conditions, the solar energy capacity, which was 11 gigawatts in 2022, is expected to reach 39 gigawatts in 2028, while the wind energy capacity, which was 11 gigawatts in 2022, is expected to increase to 18 gigawatts in this period.

Thus, it is predicted that Türkiye will exceed its current wind and solar energy targets for 2030 by a large margin. According to the analysis, this shows that Türkiye can set more ambitious targets in solar and wind energy to strengthen the clean energy transition and the fight against climate change.

In order to be compatible with the goal of limiting the global temperature increase to 1.5 degrees, Türkiye's electricity production from wind and solar energy must increase 3 to 4 times compared to 2022 levels by 2030, which requires solar and wind energy capacity to increase to 62 and 27 gigawatts, respectively, in the said period.

It is estimated that if Türkiye achieves this capacity increase, it can reach its national targets for 2035 5 years early. ​​​​​​​

Climate Analytics Senior Climate and Energy Analyst Neil Grant, in his evaluation of the analysis, said, "Türkiye's current policy plans are compatible with the 1.5 degree target and can easily accelerate slightly to reach the required pace. The country is in a great position to benefit from abundant renewable energy resources." He said.

Solar could provide more than half of the world's electricity by 2050

In order to achieve global climate targets, wind and solar energy must grow 5 times faster than its current rate by 2030 and 8 times faster by 2035 in the 11 countries in question, including Turkey.

While wind energy plays a key role in the short term in these countries, solar energy is expected to become the main source of electricity by 2050, accounting for more than half of global electricity production.

China stands out as a key market in this field. China, which achieved its 2030 targets in wind and solar energy 6 years early and whose installed power in these resources increased to 1.2 terawatts, has the possibility of reaching a capacity of 4.5 terawatts if it maintains its current pace.

While India needs to increase its current capacity in wind and solar energy by 5 times to reach 600 gigawatts, it is predicted that the country may need more international financing.

In the USA, wind and solar energy capacity must grow 5 times to 1,400 gigawatts by 2030 in order to be compatible with the goal of limiting the global temperature increase to 1.5 degrees.

In his assessment of the capacity increase in China, Grant stated that emissions are approaching the peak with the record-breaking renewable energy capacity in China, and said, "However, in order to overcome this peak and reduce emissions at the rate required for the 1.5 degree target, China needs to exceed its own success and activate these resources more quickly." He used the expression.

Markus Hagemann, the author of the report from NewClimate Institute, stated that the USA should fulfill its promises of a carbon-free electricity sector by 2035 and said:

"This target is generally consistent with the goals of the Paris Agreement to limit global temperature rise. For the United States, this means increasing wind and solar power capacity by almost 5-fold by 2030 to ensure that fossil fuels can be completely eliminated from electricity generation by 2035."

Source: Anadolu Agency

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